The starting of a railroad line involves the purchase of station sites, and almost surely the laying out of villages at intervals along the line. The promoters of the railroad are likely to be promoters of town sites as well. And this increased demand for farms and lots brings a larger faith in the future of these locations. Everyone who can save a little from his income hopes to increase that little indefinitely by investment in the chances of increased value of a lot or a home. Under such circumstances the machinery of credit moves easily, and one does not hesitate to extend his credit to the utmost for the purchase of what is increasing in value each day. The result is a temptation to larger expenditures.
People who are counting their future gains are sure to have larger wants, and their seeming prosperity in accumulation of value gives them a larger credit among dealers. The next step is an enlargement of sales of current supplies of all sorts and an increasing manufacture of such supplies to meet the increasing wants and naturally enhancing price. Soon the staple products of farms and factories and mines become themselves objects of speculative purchase. Men buy simply to hold for the increase in price. This speculation itself is a temporary cause of success, and goes on until some accident somewhere reveals the exaggerated proportions of expectation. Sometimes this speculative spirit continues for a series of years, in which case it pervades every circle of producers and consumers. Sometimes it is temporary and local, being produced by some special undertaking and destroyed by a special failure. Sometimes the death of an enterprising man destroys the "boom" he has created. When speculation is rife over a large territory, everybody is employed to his utmost ability, and the times are said to be good. All property of every kind is counted at its highest price in the mind of the owner, and all credits are easily extended from month to month, or from year to year, because of the universal faith. There seems to the casual observer no reason for doubt, and the most conservative judges overestimate the ability of the people.
_Financial crisis._--At such a time as that described, when credits of every kind are interlocked and expectations are high, the so-called floating capital of the country, under indefinite promises to pay, is gradually being actually locked up in huge plants of machinery in great railroad routes, in vacant city lots, and uncultivated farms held for future sale, or in warehouses and elevators full of the products of industry,--especially such products as do not immediately deteriorate in quality, such as grains, cloths, raw materials of every kind and machinery of general use. This is apparently the property of the holders, but against it are the claims of all those who have contributed by loans on time, by credit for sales, by labor unpaid for and by provisions on account. One can easily see that with all these people bound together by credit a single failure may be far-reaching in its effects. The inability of a single man to meet his promises, if those promises are widely enough distributed, may bring a panic among his creditors, their creditors, and so on down to even the solid men, supposed to hold the accumulation of years untouched by speculation. For every channel of trade is full of credit, which now everybody loses.