Let $Z_{ n}$ be the number of individuals in a subcritical BPRE evolving in the environment generated by iid probability distributions. Let $X$ be the logarithm of the expected offspring size per individual given the environment. Assuming that the density of $X$ has the form $$p_{ X}(x)=x^{ -\beta -1}l_{ 0}(x)e^{ -\rho x}$$ for some $\beta >2,$ a slowly varying function $l_{ 0}(x)$ and $\rho \in \left( 0,1\right),$ we find the asymptotic survival probability and prove a Yaglom type conditional limit theorem for the process. The survival probability decreases exponentially with an additional polynomial term related to the tail of $X$. The proof relies on a fine study of a random walk (with negative drift and heavy tails) conditioned to stay positive until time $n$ and to have a small positive value at time $n$, with $n$ tending to infinity.
Categories: math.PR